I think this guy is credible:
https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/ch.../levitt/facts/
He's accurately predicted development of virus and its effects. While there are multiple sources that have reported his information, I think it's his actual message that's important, regardless of source.
https://www.dailywire.com/news/nobel...om-coronavirus
One takeaway is that fatality-rates are not accurate simply due to not being able to gather data on total number of infections. Looking at reports from those who've gotten over it, symptoms are not any different than regular common cold/flu. So we may never know total numbers infected with this specific virus.
Examining rate-of-change of death-rate (derivative function) gives better indicator. Difference between distance vs. speed vs. acceleration. Similarly, total deaths vs death-rate vs death-rate increase/decrease.