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Old March 19th, 2020, 10:28 PM   #74
DannoXYZ
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Name: AKA JacRyann
Location: Mesa, AZ
Join Date: Dec 2011

Motorcycle(s): CB125T CBR250R-MC19 CBR250RR-MC22 NSR350R-MC21 VF500F CBR600RR SFV650 VFR750F R1M ST1300PA Valkyrie-F6C

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MOTY - 2018, MOTM - Nov '17
I think this guy is credible:
https://www.nobelprize.org/prizes/ch.../levitt/facts/

He's accurately predicted development of virus and its effects. While there are multiple sources that have reported his information, I think it's his actual message that's important, regardless of source.

https://www.dailywire.com/news/nobel...om-coronavirus

One takeaway is that fatality-rates are not accurate simply due to not being able to gather data on total number of infections. Looking at reports from those who've gotten over it, symptoms are not any different than regular common cold/flu. So we may never know total numbers infected with this specific virus.

Examining rate-of-change of death-rate (derivative function) gives better indicator. Difference between distance vs. speed vs. acceleration. Similarly, total deaths vs death-rate vs death-rate increase/decrease.
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